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Stock indexes continue to be strong, macroeconomics and meetings at the central banks are key

COULD THE STOCK INDEXES MOVE HIGHER?

The week will open on a solid footing as the major U.S indexes, the SPY, QQQ and IWB were all higher on Friday.  The S&P 500 is at almost a 10-month high and the Nasdaq 100 is at a 14-month high. Today, continued strength in technology stocks could drive stock indexes higher. So far in 2023, the Magnificent Seven has driven stock indexes. Friday Tesla was up over 5%. Take a look at the table and graphs below.

STOCK INDEXES

The debate among commentators and analysts about the direction of stock indexes continues. There are increasingly strong claims that the Bear Market is over. Then others think the recession is just around the corner. It appears the fear of missing out (FOMO) is winning. If the Bear Market is over then this is the end of the longest bear market in the S&P 500 since the 1940s is over.

The strength in U.S. stock indexes in 2023 has been fueled by a few stocks showing outsized increases. The mega cap tech stocks performed well on Friday as they have done so far in 2023. The Big Cap Tech stocks or the Magnificent Seven, such as Tesla (TSLA), and the AI darling Nvidia (NVDA). Also, there has been some comeback in economic optimism. A contrast to the attitude that plagued the market in 2022.

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STOCK INDEXES
stock indexes

macroeconomics and the key central bank meeting

In the week ahead macroeconomics and the key meeting at the ECB and the FOMC. They will have the attention of stock investors. Global bond yields could continue the recent volatility. The 10-year T-note yield is 3.75%, up +3.7 basis points. The 10-year German bund yield is 2.38%, while the UK 10-year gilt yield is 4.24%.
 
The FOMC at the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will both meet this week. The expectation is that both could continue to tighten monetary policy. Thus, possibly raising interest rates by 25bps. Keenly watched will be the guidance given on monetary policy amid ongoing inflation. The ECB is expected to raise interest rates by a quarter point. While there is the increasing expectation that the FOMC could leave rates unchanged.
 
Under the microscope will be any surprise from the central banks or the forthcoming inflation data. The any disappointment in CPI and PPI numbers could dampen bullish enthusiasm. Core CPI is expected to fall to 5.3% in May This could be a short-term negative for the U.S. stock indexes.

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MARKET MOVERS

On the positive side of the market, Tesla is up more than 5%. This was based on the announcement by GM that it would adapt its electric vehicles to Tesla’s Superchargers. Also, Etsy is up more than 6% after Sensor Tower reported that Etsy’s May app downloads increased +27% YOY.  CRM is up more than 3% after announcing that it was expanding its AI product offerings. On the negative side, after a recent run, regional bank stock indexes were weaker. 

stock indexes

International stock markets are mixed, Japan continues to be strong up 1.97%. Take a look at the ETFs to Own table. ETFs focused on Japan continue to be strong. The Euro Stoxx 50 closed down while the Shanghai Composite closed up 0.55%.

 

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BARCHART: QUICK STOCK IDEAS

 Stocks and ETFs to Own – 12 June, 2023.  
 
STOCK INDEXES

PRICE SURPRISES AND VOLATILITY

surprises both upside and downside. 

STOCK PERFORMANCE LEADERS AND LAGGARS

Stocks below are ranked by Barchart based on the Highest Daily Percentage Change. 

The charts used in this Blog Post are from Barchart. Barchart is a financial data and technology company that provides financial market data, news, analysis, and trading solutions. 

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Stock indexes continue to be strong, macroeconomics and meetings at the central banks are key

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Warren William

Warren William

Meet the author behind Smartest-Data. Warren William has a career in Finance and Investments extending over 35 years, both on the Buy Side and Sell Side. His most recent roles include, developing Institutional Risk Management Programs for managing Equity and Fixed Income Risk.  Prior to this Warren William work in Alternative Investments, in Investment Management and as a Buy Side Equity Analyst. Warren William brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the table, providing in-depth analysis and commentary on the latest trends in the Stock Markets. Contact information: wwBLOG@smartest-data.blog or Telegram +393339034488

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