U.S. stock markets continue to build on multi month highs, despite words to the contrary a recession seems distant

U.S. Stock Markets Continue: The Week Ahead, 5 June

The SPY Friday closed up +1.45%, and the QQQ closed up +0.73%. For the week the SPY was up 2.7% and the QQQ up 3.4%. As the saying goes, stocks lead earnings and earnings lead the economy. You would have to be a brave investor to bet against this U.S. stocks.

stock market continue

Despite continued predications about a possible recession, ‌U.S. stock markets continue to move higher. Yes, it is a concentrated market with seven stocks dominating the increase in market cap, YTD. More on this later. The week closed with the S&P 500 ‌at a nine-month high, and the Nasdaq 100 is approaching a 14-month high.

A RECESSION, IT IS A LONG WAY OFF

The U.S economy remains strong, the May nonfarm payrolls increasing +339,000 above expectations. In the U.S. May average hourly earnings eased to +4.3% yoy. The question is how will this impact the Fed. The market expects a +25 bp rate hike at the June 13-14 FOMC meeting.

stock market continue

Stocks opened with the good news that the U.S. Senate passed legislation to suspend the debt ceiling. Global bond yields on Friday moved higher. The 10-year T-note yield rose to 3.70%. The 10-year German bund yield rose to 2.31%, and the UK 10-year gilt yield rose to 4.15%.

THE WEEK AHEAD

The focus this week will be on OPEC+ deals with a divided oil market. A range of Apple products will debut at Apple’s Worldwide Developers Conference.

DISH Network finished up more than 16%. Amazon announced that it is in talks to sell mobile phone service to its U.S. prime subscribers. Lululemon Athletica finished up more than 11%. The Group posted Q1 net revenue that exceeded expectations. Management upgraded its 2024 net revenue target. The 3M stock up more than 8% on Friday.

stocks continue higher

There is continued momentum behind these markets. Key technical studies on the S&P 500 ‌graph, are indicating over bought. These are ‌the Bollinger Bands the MACD and the RSI. Certainly the stock markets continue higher due to the Magnificant Seven. The stock market could broaden ‌as recession fears reside. Further if at the next earnings, earnings are upgraded by companies into 2024. Seriously, watch this space.

The Euro Stoxx 50 finished the day up 1.55%. The Shanghai Composite closed up 0.79%, and the Nikkei Stock Index in Japan closed up 1.21 percent.

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Stock markets coninue

The AI boom accelerates

As the AI boom accelerates into the summer months, and stocks continue higher, there are clearly two markets. Investors have focused on tech piling money into the much-hyped artificial intelligence trade. It is not correct to say investors have soured on the overall market. After 2022, the rebound is concentrated into only a few companies. But once a clearer picture emerges on the broader economy, the broader market will gain.
 

THE SEVEN TECH LEADERS

This is the influence of the Mega Tech stocks, now nicknamed ‘The Magnificent Seven’ by Bank of America. The group ‌accounts for an estimated 8.8% of the S&P 500’s YTD gain of approximately 10%. Apple has led the group and let’s see what the developers conference brings this week. The other six stocks are Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOGL), Meta (META), Amazon (AMZN), Tesla (TSLA), and Nvidia (NVDA).
 
Thus these seven stocks now account for 84% of the Nasdaq 100’s $4 trillion growth in market valuation in 2023. These seven stocks comprise around 31% of assets under management.
 
Nvidia’s rise has contributed 20% of the S&P 500’s year-to-date gain. despite only representing 2.7% of its index weight. The NVDA stock reached a milestone last week as it joined the $1 Trillion club in terms of market cap. The lack of breath across the stock market is a concern for investors.

 

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BARCHART: IDEAS FOR STOCKS AND ETFS TO CONSIDER

STOCKS

AppFolio, Inc. provides cloud-based software solutions for the real estate and legal industries. ‌ Property Manager, including posting and tracking tenant vacancies. It conducts the full leasing process, administering maintenance and repairs.

 
The MyCase solution provides time tracking, billing and payments, client contact. Plus coordination with other lawyers and support personnel, and legal document management. Websites and electronic payment services are examples of value+ services. AppFolio, Inc. is based in Goleta, California.
 
CHASE CORP. The group makes insulating and semi-conducting electrical cable tape wraps. Also, cable filler compounds, and anti-corrosion mastics. The company’s main products are protective coatings and tapes.
 
 
ETFS
 
The WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund intends to provide exposure to the Japanese equity market. The fund hedges against variations in the value of the US dollar against the Japanese yen.
 
The Pacer Trendpilot 100 ETF. The fund seeks to replicate the total return performance of the Pacer NASDAQ-100 Trendpilot Index.
 
The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund. The fund seeks investment outcomes that, correspond to the Technology Select Sector Index. This is for both price and yield performance.
 
 

PRICE SURPRISES AND VOLATILITY

For 2 June . Barchart lists Price Surprises both upside and downside. This is for volatile stocks, as indicated by standard deviation compared to their past 20 days of data.

STOCK PERFORMANCE LEADERS AND LAGGARS

The stocks that led and lagged the stock market.

https://www.barchart.com/stocks/performance/percent-change/advances?viewName=148911

PLEASE CLICK THE LINK TO THE DISCLAIMER

The charts used in this Blog Post are from Barchart. Barchart is a financial data and technology company that provides financial market data, news, analysis, and trading solutions. The website is designed for individual traders and investors, as well as institutional clients, including banks, brokers, and hedge funds.

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Warren William

Warren William

Meet the author behind Smartest-Data. Warren William has a career in Finance and Investments extending over 35 years, both on the Buy Side and Sell Side. His most recent roles include, developing Institutional Risk Management Programs for managing Equity and Fixed Income Risk.  Prior to this Warren William work in Alternative Investments, in Investment Management and as a Buy Side Equity Analyst. Warren William brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the table, providing in-depth analysis and commentary on the latest trends in the Stock Markets. Contact information: wwBLOG@smartest-data.blog or Telegram +393339034488

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